Free Trial

National And RBC Below Consensus Jobs Growth On Lack Of Supply

CANADA
  • National expect job creation to still be more modest given the limited numbers of workers still on the sidelines, seeing job growth of 20k in May (cons. 27.5k) after April’s 15k.
  • Assuming an unchanged participation rate at 65.3%, that would leave the u/e rate at 5.2%.
  • RBC similarly expect jobs growth to match April’s 15k, but not from any shortfall in demand where job openings are running ~70% above pre-pandemic levels.
  • The u/e rate touched 5.2% in April, the lowest since at least 1976, so RBC expect additional demand for workers from now on to show up in wage growth than employment counts.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.