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1 Month USD/KRW Getting Close To 200-Day MA Resistance

KRW

The won is comfortably the weakest performer within the Asian FX space so far today. Spot is back around the 1319/20 level, more than 1.30% weaker in won terms versus Friday's close. The 1 month NDF has lost 1% since the open to be in the 1316/17 region, although we are slightly below session highs (1318.30). We are now within striking distance of late Feb/early Mar highs for the pair. Also note the simple 200-day MA is nearby, just under 1324.

  • Moves above the 200-day MA have been selling opportunities since we broke back below this support point in early Dec last year, see the chart below.
  • The won is showing its sensitivity to both oil price moves and a softer equity backdrop. Onshore equities are underperforming the tech related bounce we saw on Friday, with weaker Nasdaq futures (off by around 0.65%). The Kospi is slightly weaker so far today.
  • So far offshore investors have sold around $75mn of local shares.
Fig 1: USD/KRW 1 Month Approaching Simple 200-Day MA

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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