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1 Month USD/KRW Near 1360, As Onshore Markets Return

KRW

South Korean markets return today, after being shut for the Harvest Moon holiday period since last Thursday. The 1 month USD/KRW has mostly been on the front foot since onshore markets closed. We spiked above 1360 briefly yesterday, but these moves drew selling interest. The pair closed near 1360 though in NY trade. Note last Wednesday's onshore spot close was 1349.90.

  • Broader USD strength over the past week, driven by fresh highs in US yields, should see USD/KRW spot open firmer in the first part of trade today.
  • Equity sentiment has been mixed in the tech space, although Tuesday US trade saw noticeable pullbacks in the SOX and MSCI IT indices.
  • We have local data out today, with August IP on tap (-5.8% y/y forecast, prior -8.0%). The cyclical leading index for August is also due. The September PMI prints a little later on.
  • To recap, on Sunday we got better than expected full month trade figures for September. Exports were -4.4% y/y (forecast -9.3%, prior -8.3%). The trade surplus was $3700mn, against a $1078mn projection.

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