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1 Month USD/KRW Probing Higher, But Won Outperforming Weaker Local Equities

KRW

1 month USD/KRW has probed higher in earlier dealings, but has seen some selling interest above 1354. The pair was last just under this level, around 0.20% weaker in won terms versus Wednesday closing levels in NY.

  • In terms of upside levels October 19 highs were just above 1358, while near the start of the month we got to 1361.60. A break above this level would mark fresh YTD highs in the 1 month NDF.
  • The weaker local equity backdrop amid broader tech headwinds (softer earnings guidance in the US, higher yields etc) is a weight on the won. The Kospi is down 1.75% so far today. Still, the 1 month NDF is outperforming against this weaker trend, see the chart below (note the 1 month NDF is inverted on the chart).
  • Earlier slightly better than expected Q3 GDP data didn't lift sentiment, while the FinMin stated that the economy is on track to growth 1.4% this year, with an export led recovery expected for the rest of this year.

Fig 1: Kospi Versus 1 Month USD/KRW (Inverted)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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