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10Y Bond Yield 'League': Germany, Japan at The Top, Russia At The Bottom

GLOBAL
  • Volatility on the long end of the bond curves has been elevated in recent months globally given the significant surge in inflation.
  • US 10Y yield had surged by 100bps since the start of 2021 to reach a local high of 2.0630% this month before retracing sharply lower in the past week due to the deterioration in the Russia/Ukraine conflict.
  • In this table, we rank the 10Y government bond yield of 31 different countries (EM and DM) over time, from the lowest (1) to the highest (31).
  • As expected, Russia now stands at the bottom of the League following the massive surge in the past week; Russia 10Y yield us currently trading at around 16% according to Bloomberg.
  • The constant fall in China 10Y yield (yellow cell) in the past year amid significant deceleration in the economic activity increased China's ranking from 27 to 23.
  • Interestingly, Japan (green cell) is back in the second place after rising up to 11 last year as the implied vol on the long-end of the curve has been much lower than in other countries due to the YCC policy.
  • The US (red cell) is currently ranked 17 according to the 10Y yield, currently standing just above Singapore 10Y.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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