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10Y Yield Breaks Above 4.5% (BBG)

HUNGARY
  • We have seen that the long end of the curve has been under pressure recently amid rising inflationary pressures.
  • Hungary 10Y yield continues to retrace higher today, breaking above the 4.50% (BBG) resistance and is currently trading at its highest level since October 2014.
  • Next important to watch on the topside stands at 4.72%, followed by 4.94%.
  • The sharp rise in LT interest rates could eventually lead to a significant impact on financial institutions, which hold over a third of the government's debt and therefore are very 'long duration'.
  • We have seen lately that the dramatic upside consolidation in LT interest rates has been associated with a currency depreciation (HUF) and some weakness in equities.

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