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10Y Yield Testing 2.91% Support

CHINA
  • We have seen that the sharp upward retracement in LT bond yields in the first half of October was short lived as the rising uncertainty has led to more consolidation in China 10Y yield in the past few weeks.
  • After finding resistance at 3.05% (LT downward trending resistance red line), China 10Y yield has been trending lower and is currently testing the 2.91% level, which corresponds to the 50% retracement of the 2.46% - 3.36% range.
  • Next level to watch on the downside stands at 2.87% (LT upward trending support line).
  • LT bond yields could remain low in the near term despite the elevated inflationary pressures as the uncertainty over the economic outlook will continue to weigh on growth expectations.
  • Key support stands at 2.80%, which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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