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10Y Yield Testing Its 100DMA Resistance

CHINA
  • The positive surprise in inflation yesterday, with PPI rising to its highest level since November 1995, has not led to a significant rise in China LT bond yields.
  • The 10Y yield has been testing its 100DMA resistance at 2.96% in the past week, after retracing sharply higher earlier this month.
  • A break above that level would open the door for a move up to 3.0160% which corresponds to the 38.2% retracement of the 2.46% - 3.36% range.
  • Key resistance stands at 3.07% (high of the LT downward trending channel and 200DMA).
  • Selling pressure on global LT bonds amid rising stagflation risks could also lead to higher retracements in China 10Y yield.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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