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(2/2) Clarida: U.S. Close to full employment,...>

FED
FED: (2/2) Clarida: U.S. Close to full employment, big benefit to keeping
economy there. `Don't see a crack in the consumer', never been in better shape.
- Investment weaker. Have seen a rebound in housing.
- Won't comment on dollar strength being impediment to hitting inflation target;
won't comment on 'who pays tariffs'.
- Policy works with a lag. Interest-sensitive sectors going to benefit, durable
goods in particular.
- Asked about whether Fed has achieved a soft landing: says US operating in
range of trend growth (notes range of views on Fed's SEP, which has median
1.7-1.8%; 'I'm more optimistic than median'), unemployment near 50-yr low, wages
picking up in today's report, wage inflation not a source of concern, showing up
in price inflation. Share of income going to labour has increased.
- Re what mid-cycle means: no parallel is perfect. Have previously referred to
1995/1998 episodes. We are not in late cycle.
- Re Fed purchase announcement on Oct 11: This is not QE, this is central
banking 101. We believe we can achieve objectives buying T-Bills alone.

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