(2) - Parliament will likely support a Brexit....>

UK: (2) - Parliament will likely support a Brexit extension. However, this does

not clarify the outlook for Brexit. Even if parliament supports this amendment,

the EU would need to authorise it. Brussels is wary of granting an extension

without a concrete proposal from Westminster on how to break the impasse. An

extension of a few months is unlikely to yield a significant overhaul of the

current Withdrawal Agreement and so would leave the UK in a similar position to

what it is in now. A longer extension, running for several months, or even > 1

year, would be considered by eurosceptics (and many non- eurosceptics) to be an

affront to democracy and would deepen the constitutional crisis.

- What about another election? Opposition Labour Jeremy Corbyn has once again

urged a snap ballot. However, this similarly does not guarantee that a

parliamentary consensus will emerge. The political environment has become highly

fractured, which could again prevent Labour or the Conservatives from securing a

majority. If, for example, similar voting patterns emerged as during the 2017

snap election which resulted in a similar parliamentary composition as there is

now, then there would still be no consensus on Brexit.