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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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A new survey from the Messenger/HarrisX has found that former President Donald Trump and President Biden are effectively tied in polling, but Trump may have firmer support from his base and benefit more from third-party presidential candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- Messenger writes: "With third-party candidates on the ballot, Trump led with 40% support, followed by Biden at 37%, while independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy was at 11%. Independent Cornel West and Green party candidate Jill Stein were in single digits."
- Recognising the threat from third-party candidates, American Bridge, "the Democratic Party’s primary opposition research organization," is spending millions of dollars to "track Republican rivals and produce attack ads due to concerns that third-party candidates could siphon off votes from Biden in key states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Arizona," according to Reuters.
- Pat Denis, president of American Bridge, said in a statement: "We're keeping an eye out to make sure they're dotting all their i's and crossing their t's, and we are not ruling out legal action with our attorneys if we identify a problem — and that applies for all third-party threats to President Biden."
Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election, Hypothetical Biden/Trump Matchup
Source: Messenger/HarrisX
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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