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A Rare 'Softer' Observation From CPI

US
  • Airfares were at the higher end of analyst expectations at 12.5% M/M after the record 18.6% in April, worth +0.11pps to core from April’s +0.13pps, whilst the swing in used car inflation added +0.1pp from last month.
  • It risks stripping out only the fastest growing categories but core CPI excl shelter, used autos & airfares slowed from +0.47% M/M to +0.34% M/M for the lowest since September.
  • That’s not to detract from the overall strength of the report though, being still almost twice the pace consistent with the 2% target and with stickier shelter inflation ramping even higher to 0.6% M/M, including OER inflation breaking out of an extremely stable range of 0.41-0.45 from the previous eight months.

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