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A$ Underperforms As High Bar Set For March Fed Rate Cut
AUDUSD stabilised during the European morning after falling on the lower-than-expected inflation data. It rose back above 66c on weaker-than-expected US data and reached an intraday high of 0.6622. There was volatility around the Fed announcement and press conference but the pair ended up falling to an intraday low of 0.6551 after Powell said that a March cut is unlikely. It is currently trading around 0.6563. The USD index is 0.2% higher.
- Aussie underperformed the G10 apart from NOK. The downtrend in AUDUSD continues with it approaching key support at 0.6526 on Wednesday. A break of this level would open up 0.6500. Initial resistance is 0.6626, 50-day EMA.
- AUDJPY fell 1% to 96.47, close to the intraday low. AUDNZD is 0.2% lower at 1.0735 but mainly range traded following the Aussie Q4 CPI data. AUDEUR is down 0.3% to 0.6071 and AUDGBP -0.4% to 0.5176.
- Equity markets were weaker with the S&P down 1.6% and the Euro stoxx -0.3%. Oil prices were sharply lower with Brent -2.5% to $80.41/bbl. Copper fell 0.5% and iron ore is around $131.50/t.
- Today the final January Judo Bank manufacturing PMI, Q4 export/import prices, Q4 NAB business survey and December building approvals print. Export prices are forecast to rise strongly and a small increase in approvals is expected.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.