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Free AccessACGB Curve Flattens, US CPI Later & AU Employment Data Thursday
ACGBs (YM -2.0 & XM 0.0) are mixed today, with the curve slightly flatter. Earlier, The Q1 wage price index rose a less-than-expected 0.8% q/q to be up 4.1% y/y, the third straight quarter above 4%. Q4 was revised up 0.1pp to 1.0% q/q. The focus will now turn to US CPI due out later tonight and more locally AU Employment data on Thursday.
- Cross-asset moves: US equity futures are little changed today, the ASX200 is up 0.50% to be a top performer in the region, while in the FX space, AUD and NZD were the top performing G10 currencies as they were supported by positive news from China around the property sector, Iron Ore is down 0.65% at $115.30/ton.
- Issuance: Australia sold A$800m 2.75% 2035 bonds at 4.3516% average yield for a bid/cover ratio of 2.9250x up from 2.8437x prior
- Front-end ACGBs are a touch weaker today as the curve bear-flattened, the 2y10y -1.520 at 28.940 with yields flat to 2bps higher, while the AU-US 10-year yield differential is 1bps lower, now -11bps
- Swap rates are 1-2bps lower
- The bills strip is 1bp lower
- RBA-dated OIS implied rate now pricing 1bps lower into the November meeting, market has softened a touch and is now pricing 7.5bps of easing into year-end to a terminal rate of 4.275%
- Looking ahead, Employment data is due out at 11.30 AEST on Thursday
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.