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Action Limited In Asia After Month-End Vol.

US TSYS

T-Notes continue to operate within the confines of a very narrow 0-02+ range, looking through the latest round of Chinese Caixin m'fing PMI data, which came in on the softer side. The contract last deals -0-06+ at 132-09+. The major cash Tsy benchmarks trade little changed to 1.0bp cheaper on the day, with Asia-Pac activity hindered by a lack of meaningful headline flow and the observance of a holiday in Hong Kong.

  • As a reminder, Tsys unwound their gains/flattening over the late NY month-end period on Wednesday, with the major cash Tsy benchmarks hitting the bell around unchanged levels. Local data releases included a mixed ADP print (beat on this month's reading, with the prior month's reading seeing a ~92K downward revision), while the rate of expansion witnessed in the MNI Chicago PMI slowed at a quicker clip than was expected. 2x TU/FV flattener blocks were seen during the NY morning, helping the general flattening trajectory that was evident ahead of month-end flows. There was also a 10K block buy in the TYU1 135.00/136.00 call spread, with the 136.00 strike equating to a drop to ~1.00% in yield terms. Short end activity once again caught the eye, with the increased round of EDZ2/Z4 activity continuing for a third day. A reminder that Morgan Stanley issued a recommendation to initiate EDZ2/Z4 steepeners at 104.0 after hours on Friday, with the spread operating in a 101.5-107.0 range so far this week, ending NY trade at 105.5 (after settling at 102.5) with ~86K lots trading since Sunday's Asia-Pac open. Fed reverse repo facility activity also garnered attention, surging to $992bn at quarter-end.
  • Global PMI data will be front and centre ahead of Thursday's NY session, although a fair chunk of the releases represent final prints. Looking ahead to NY hours, the local docket will be headlined by the latest ISM m'fing survey and weekly jobless claims data.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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