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ADP Wage Growth Continues Moderation With Further Progress Needed

US DATA
  • The earlier ADP report showed a further marked deceleration in wage growth for job changers in August, although it was still very strong at 9.5% Y/Y after 10.3% for its softest since Jun’21.
  • Job stayers continued their steadier moderation, from 6.2% to 5.9% Y/Y for its softest since Sep’21.
  • The limited back history for the relatively new series makes a comparison with pre-pandemic growth difficult, but it’s likely that wage growth remains far stronger than prior trends.

Job changers (yellow), job stayers (white)Source: Bloomberg

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