March 05, 2025 09:14 GMT
FINANCIALS: AIB Group (AIB) - Q4 Results
FINANCIALS
Small credit positive. A good set of results.
- NII increased to €4.1bn, up from €3.8bn, but is expected to fall back to €3.6bn in 2025. Fee and commission income grew by 5% in 2024 to €666m. Other income was lower as 2023 included the Goodbody income.
- Cost of risk fell to 8bps in 2024, but this was flattered by macroeconomic assumption changes. Credit performance from impaired credits were similar to 2023 - which looks likely an underlying CoR of c12bps In both years.
- Operating expenses grew 8% during the year.
- PBT is up to €2.7bn from €2.4bn in 2023
- CET1 decreases from 15.8% to 15.1% - remains well ahead of >14% target. Capital generation was 400bps through the year. SRT's and other moves added a further 50bps.Dividends were -350bps, and buybacks were -80bps. RWA growth detracted a further 90bps.
2025 Targets
- Cost of risk 20-30bps
- RoTE >15% - which is medium term target
- 5% loan growth
Performance
- Irish banks in general saw their sr non-prefs outperform QoQ, following the positive outlook for BKIR and AIB from S^P on Feb 24rth. They rallied c.20bps, compared to the index at -14bps. Tier 2's were more in line with both irish banks and the index c30bps tighter.
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