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Airfares Lead Deflation Across Pandemic Reopening Categories

US DATA

Looking at the major pandemic reopening categories, many of which were key to expectations for a disinflationary figure in June vs May:

  • Used Car prices fell but well short of the big drop that some had expected, while Airfares fell at their fastest pace since July 2022.
  • Lodging / New Car / Car and Truck rental prices were all basically in line.

It's also the first month since April 2020 that all of the following categories have been negative M/M:

  • USED CARS -0.5% Expected: flat to -1.6% M/M (vs +4.4% in both May and April)
  • LODGING -2.0% Expected: flat to -2.5% (vs +1.8% May)
  • AIRFARES -8.1% Expected: -0.5% M/M (vs -3% in May)
  • NEW CARS: -0.2% (after -0.4% in May)
  • CAR/TRUCK RENTAL: -1.4% (after -3%+ each of last 3 months)

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