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Annual Deficit Improves As Imports Weaken Sharply

NEW ZEALAND

NZ’s trade deficit widened in January to $976mn from $368mn but the 12 month YTD sum narrowed to $12.5bn from $13.6bn, the best in 18 months. Export and import growth are both weak with shipments to major destinations contracting.

  • Merchandise export growth improved moderately to -7.1% y/y from -9.6% in December this still outpaced import growth which deteriorated 22.6% y/y after -10.3%. The level of imports was its lowest since September 2021, signalling weak domestic demand but helping the 12-month deficit to improve. Consumer goods imports fell 6.7% y/y.
  • Goods exports to China are down 2.8% y/y, -5.6% y/y to the US and -17% y/y to Australia. Lower shipments of dairy and meat products and wine are weighing on NZ’s trade position.
  • There were sharp drops in imports of petroleum (-50% y/y), vehicles (-20% y/y), ships & boats (-90% y/y) and machinery & equipment (-12% y/y), which probably also reflect the unwinding of Covid-related pent up demand.
NZ merchandise exports vs imports y/y% 3-month ma

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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