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ANZ note that "3y and 10y AUD swap.....>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: ANZ note that "3y and 10y AUD swap spreads have gone negative. The
main factor behind this has been the fall in BBSW relative to repo. The rush of
ACGB supply and expectations that this will continue have also cheapened bond to
swap, particularly at the long-end. The US's experience tells us that even when
central banks massively expand their balance sheets, fundamentals still matter
for swap spreads. We think AUD spreads could remain around current levels for
some time, while the EFP box could also remain negative. There will be a
directional element in swap spreads, however, especially at the front end. A
global reflation trade in the second half of the year could quickly see 3y swap
spreads at least move back into positive territory given the way yield curve
control (YCC) operates."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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