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As a reminder on Friday Moody's downgraded....>

ITALY
ITALY: As a reminder on Friday Moody's downgraded the Government of Italy's
local & foreign-currency issuer ratings to Baa3 from Baa2 & changed the rating
outlook to stable. Moody's cited "a material weakening in Italy's fiscal
strength, with the gov't targeting higher budget deficits for the coming years
than prev. assumed. Italy's public debt ratio will likely stabilize close to the
current 130% of GDP in the coming years, rather than start trending down as
prev. exp. Moreover, the public debt trend is vulnerable to weaker growth
prospects, which would see the public debt ratio rise further from its already
elevated level." Moody's also noted "the negative implications for medium-term
growth of the stalling of plans for structural econ & fiscal reforms. In Moody's
view, the government's fiscal and economic policy plans do not comprise a
coherent agenda of reforms that will address Italy's sub-par growth performance
on a sustained basis. Following a temporary lift to growth due to the
expansionary fiscal policy, the rating agency expects growth to fall back to its
trend rate of around 1%. Even in the near term, Moody's believes that the fiscal
stimulus will provide a more limited boost to growth than the gov't exp."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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