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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
ASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STOCK RECAP: US TSYS,EGBS,UK GILTS LOWER
US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries open NY weaker still after overnight decline
amid mixed flows, risk-on mood. Tsys shorts set into 1pm ET $20B 10Y Tsy
reopening. US data: 10am ET JOLTS job openings.
- TOKYO: UN Security Council set more sanctions vs. NKorea, which aided Asian
stocks, Nikkei +1.2%. Tsys opened steady to Mon NY close, held narrow range amid
moderate 2way flow from asset managers, banks and credit funds. Asian central
bank selling occurred in 5Y notes while foreign central banks two-way in 10s.
- LONDON: Tsys declined amid sporadic buying, profit tkg in 5s and 10s, end
users bought intermediates, corp and auction tied hedging; misc sales in long
end. EGBS pressured by Dutch ten year note issuance, 30-year German linker
issuance, stronger UK inflation. UK Parliament passed Brexit legislation.
- US STOCKS: Index futures firmer. Apple at 1pm ET unveils new iPhone lineup. -
US SWAPS: Spreads running mixed, wings wider.
- OVERNIGHT REPO: Tsy 3Y, 5Y, 10Y tighter, others quiet.
- US CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE: More than seven deals to price Tues such as
Finland, KDB, Ontario Teachers' Finance Trust.
GILT SUMMARY: Higher than expected UK August inflation and continuation of
slight risk-on sentiment has led the Gilt market to sell-off sharply Tuesday
with the 10-year part of the yield curve seen leading the underperformance.
- UK 10Y Gilt yield was higher at 1.111% at 10:06am ET, up 7.0 bps on day.
- Gilts opened lower with yields around 1.8bp higher across the curve as markets
continued to trade with risk-on sentiment as UN unanimously agreed to impose new
sanctions on N.Korea and the Repeal Bill passed 2nd reading in House of Commons.
- Dec Gilts took another leg lower just ahead of UK Aug CPI release, with
traders noting a block sell of 1.5k future contracts at 127.00.
- Gilt future contract then spiked to session low of 126.81 in reaction to UK
CPI rising to 2.9% y/y, way above MNI median forecast for a 1bp rise to 2.7%
y/y, before some profit taking saw the contract pare losses.
- Swap flows have been light so far Tuesday, however 2-yr swap spreads are 2bp
wider, while there has been a mixed response in UK breakevens with 5-yr 0.8bp
wider, but 10-yr is little changed and 30-yr 0.4bp tighter.
EGB SUMMARY: EGB markets started lower and never recovered; it has been a slow
grind lower all through the morning session as heavy supply appears to be taking
its toll.
- Aside from supply, it appears that last week's bull run is starting to unwind.
The Dec-17 Bund contract open interest ramped up extremely fast last week and is
the highest since late June.
- On Tuesday morning, the biggest downturn on the curve is reserved for the RXZ7
CTD contract.
- UK CPI data printed firmer than expected and a generally decent risk-on tone
has also helped push EGBs lower today.
- The Austrian 5Y and 100Y syndicated deals appear to be going strongly, with
guidance having been tightened twice already.
- The same cannot be said for the 30Y Bund linker that only just saw bids
sufficient to beat the E0.5bln amount on sale.
- Finally, the Netherlands sold E2.2bln of 10Y paper, on the low side of the
2-3bln target range.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.