May 24, 2024 00:19 GMT
AUCTION PREVIEW: ACGB Nov-28 Supply Due
AUSSIE BONDS
The Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM) will today sell A$900mn of the 2.75% 21 November 2028. The line was last sold on 7 February 2024 for A$800mn. The sale drew an average yield of 3.6847%, at a high yield of 3.6875% and was covered 3.3687x. There were 36 bidders, 15 of which were successful and 9 were allocated in full.
- The previous offering of the Nov-28 line showed strong demand, with the cover ratio increasing and the weighted average yield printing 1.53bps through prevailing mids.
- For today’s auction, the Nov-28 bond's outright yield is around the middle of its 12-month trading range, approximately 30bps higher than at the February auction but still about 50bps lower than its early November peak.
- The 3/5 cash curve is also near the middle of its 12-month range and slightly flatter than in February.
- Bidding at today’s auction is also likely to be influenced by other factors. First, the Nov-28 is not included in the YM basket, placing it in the less preferred section of the curve. Secondly, market sentiment regarding the RBA’s policy outlook is currently far less optimistic than it was in February, with year-end cash rate expectations about 50bps higher now than they were then.
- Overall, another round of well-received supply is expected, but possibly with a less aggressive bid.
- Results are due today at 0200 BST / 1100 AEST.
229 words