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Free AccessAUD: A$ Off Highs, But Outperforms G10 Amid Higher US Yields, Retail Sales Today
AUD/USD tracks near 0.6915 in early Tuesday dealings, unable to sustain moves above 0.6940 through Monday's session. We had a brief dip sub 0.6900 amid hawkish rhetoric from Fed Chair Powell. Still, the A$ was an outperformer in the G10 space, marginally rising for Monday's session, along with the NZD. For AUD/USD support lies at the Sep 27 low 0.6868, while the 20-day EMA is under 0.6800.
- Positive spill over was likely from China equity market gains, with the CSI 300 closing above 4000 (up 8.5% yesterday). Onshore China markets are closed until next Tuesday for the National Day holidays.
- Despite such optimism around China stimulus, we still had some metals commodities move away from recent highs, Iron ore back sub $107/ton, while Copper (CMX basis) lost 1%.
- US Tsy yields rose strongly, led by the front end, with the 2yr up 8bps to 3.64%. “This is not a committee that feels like it’s in a hurry to cut rates quickly,” Powell said.
- This weighed more on the likes of JPY, which fell nearly 1%. AUD/JPY is back to 99.30 in early Tuesday dealings. Recent lows come in close to 98.00.
- On the data front today we have the final Sep manufacturing PMI, along with August building approvals and retail sales. The latter is expected to rise 0.4%m/m, from a flat outcome in July.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.