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AUD/EUR: Firms Above 20-Day EMA, Australian CPI On Tap

AUD

AUD/EUR firmed through its 20-Day EMA printing its highest level since 13 July, the EUR was pressured as the latest ECB banking survey showed the fastest contraction on record for corporate loan demand. A soft German IFO release also weighed.

  • The pair last prints at €0.6140/45 and now sits ~2% above the lows registered on 19 July.
  • Bulls now target the high from July 15 (€0.6159), a break through here opens the high from 20 June (€0.6227) and the 200-Day EMA (€0.6272).
  • On the downside bears immediate focus is on the 20-Day EMA (€0.6106). A break through here opens low from July 19 (€0.6023) and year to date lows at €0.5959.
  • Due to cross in ~2.5hours we have Q2 CPI, which is estimated to tick lower to 1.0% Q/Q. The June CPI print also crosses, a downtick to 5.4% Y/Y is expected.
Fig 1: AUD/EUR Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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