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AUD/EUR: Fresh Cycle Lows, Lowest Level Since August 2021

AUD

AUD/EUR was pressured yesterday, printing a fresh cycle low, and its lowest level since August 2021.

  • European yields rose substantially on Tuesday as the German yield curve caught up with moves seen in its US counterpart. ECB terminal rate expectations were sharply repriced upwards which boosted the Euro.
  • AUD/EUR has now fallen ~2.3% of April highs after being unable to break the 20-Day EMA early in the month.
  • The downtrend remains firmly in place, bears can now target €0.60 handle which opens up €0.5890 a Fibonacci projection.
  • Bulls first look to sustain a break of the 20-Day EMA (€0.6170) to turn the tide.

Fig 1: AUD/EUR Daily Spot, EMAs


Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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