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AUD/JPY: Fresh YTD High, Resistance Seen Above ¥95

AUD

AUD/JPY printed its highest level since early November yesterday, and a fresh year to date high. The pair rose ~0.7%, and last prints at ¥94.85/95.

  • Rising US Tsy Yields post CPI weighed on the yen and AUD/JPY extended gains through the New York session before marginally paring gains after facing resistance above ¥95.
  • Bulls look to sustain a break of ¥95 handle which opens up ¥95.99 a fibonacci projection.
  • On the downside, bears look to first break below ¥94. From here they can target the 20-Day EMA (¥92.71).
  • Today's FOMC meeting provides the next risk event for the pair. The Fed is expected to hold rates, however attention will be on any forward guidance that the bank provides.
  • Looking ahead; tomorrow's Australian May Labour Market Report, the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 3.70%, and Friday's BOJ monetary policy decision where no change is expected provide further event risks.

Fig 1: AUD/JPY Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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