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AUD/JPY: Highest Since Late November

AUD

AUD/JPY firmed to its highest level since 23 November on Friday printing a year to date high at ¥94.13 before marginally paring gains. We last sit at ¥93.95/94.05.

  • Commodity FX outperformed on Friday, and firmer US Tsy Yields weighed on the JPY as well as the previously highlighted Bloomberg report which noted BoJ officials saw little need to change policy at this week’s meeting. Iron Ore futures posting their highest level since April also aided the AUD bid.
  • Bulls have broken upside resistance at ¥93.81, a Fibonacci retracement, as the Mar-June bull run extends. They now target a break of the ¥95 handle which opens ¥95.99 a fibonacci projection.
  • On the downside bears look to first break the 20-Day EMA (¥92.21) to turn the tide.
  • Data-wise the BOJs policy meeting on Friday, no change to policy is expected, highlights the week. We also have Australia's May Labour Report on Thursday the headline unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at 3.7%.
Fig 1: AUD/JPY Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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