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AUD/JPY: Pressured On Waning Risk Sentiment, Below 20-Day EMA

AUD

AUD/JPY fell ~1.4% on Tuesday as waning risk sentiment, First Republics disappointing earnings rekindled fears over the US banking system, and lower US Treasury Yields weighed on the pair.

  • We now sit ~2.5% below April highs seen last week. The pair was unable to sustain a break above ¥90 last week, resistance came in ahead of the 200-Day EMA (¥90.83). Losses extended below the 20-Day EMA yesterday and we last print at ¥88.50/60.
  • Bears now target low from April 6 at ¥87.59, a break through here open year to date lows at ¥86.06.
  • Bulls first target the 20-Day EMA (¥89.35), from here they look to sustain a break above ¥90.
  • Australian Q1 and March CPI data is on the wires shortly, Headline is forecast to rise 6.9% Y/Y (Q1) and 6.5% Y/Y (March) and trimmed mean Q1 CPI is forecast to rise 6.7% Y/Y.
Fig 1: AUD/JPY Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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