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AUD Sits Firmer as Retail Sales Tops Estimates

FOREX
  • Regional German CPI numbers are all posting a step lower from the previous for the month of October, supporting expectations for a slowdown in the national print later today. Backing up the disinflationary pressure was the Spanish inflation print, which came in below expectations as the core print missed consensus by 0.4ppts.
  • Nonetheless, EUR/USD sits higher to tip the USD Index into negative territory, however support at the Friday low holds at the beginning of the week. CHF and SEK are the poorest performers, with GBP and JPY more mixed.
  • AUD, NZD are among the session's best performers, market moves follow Australia's September retail sales, which topped expectations at 0.9% vs. Exp. 0.3%. Resultingly, AUD/USD trades back above 0.6350 and is narrowing in on the 50-dma resistance of 0.6395. Clearance here could be one of the first signs of a bullish reversal off the 0.6270 bottom, however the medium-term downtrend remains intact.
  • Focus for the session ahead turns to the national print of German CPI, at which markets expect Y/Y inflation to slow to 4.0% from 4.5%. Dallas Fed Manufacturing also crosses, although US focus rests on the Fed decision later this week and the Quarterly Refunding Announcement from the US Treasury. Central bank speakers include ECB's de Guindos, BoC's Macklem & Rogers as well as RBA's Jones.
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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