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AUSSIE BONDS: Weaker, Near Sydney Session Cheaps, No Cash Tsy Dealings

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs (YM -5.0 & XM -4.5) are weaker and near Sydney session lows, although ranges have been narrow.

  • There are no cash US tsy dealings today with Japan out on holiday. TYZ4 currently deals at 114-20+, -0-06+ from Friday’s closing levels.  
  • Outside of the previously outlined Judo bank PMIs, there hasn't been much by way of domestic drivers to flag.
  • Cash ACGBs are 4bps cheaper with the AU-US 10-year yield differential at +21bps.
  • Swap rates are 4bps higher.
  • The bills strip has bear-steepened, with pricing -3 to -6.
  • RBA-dated OIS pricing is 2-5bps firmer across 2025 meetings. A cumulative 15bps of easing is priced by year-end.
  • Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ plans to overhaul the Reserve Bank suffered a major setback after the left-wing Greens party demanded the government order the central bank to cut interest rates. (per BBG)
  • The RBA's Policy Decision is due tomorrow, with Bloomberg consensus is unanimous in expecting a no-change outcome. 
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ACGBs (YM -5.0 & XM -4.5) are weaker and near Sydney session lows, although ranges have been narrow.

  • There are no cash US tsy dealings today with Japan out on holiday. TYZ4 currently deals at 114-20+, -0-06+ from Friday’s closing levels.  
  • Outside of the previously outlined Judo bank PMIs, there hasn't been much by way of domestic drivers to flag.
  • Cash ACGBs are 4bps cheaper with the AU-US 10-year yield differential at +21bps.
  • Swap rates are 4bps higher.
  • The bills strip has bear-steepened, with pricing -3 to -6.
  • RBA-dated OIS pricing is 2-5bps firmer across 2025 meetings. A cumulative 15bps of easing is priced by year-end.
  • Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ plans to overhaul the Reserve Bank suffered a major setback after the left-wing Greens party demanded the government order the central bank to cut interest rates. (per BBG)
  • The RBA's Policy Decision is due tomorrow, with Bloomberg consensus is unanimous in expecting a no-change outcome.