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Australia Closed For Holiday, Strong CPI In Rearview Mirror

AUD

Choppy price action from AUD/USD on Tuesday, as a strong Australian CPI report was weighed against Russia geopolitical risk, while pre-FOMC positioning generated further volatility. The rate struggled to hold onto post-CPI gains, as risk aversion took hold. Nonetheless, it recovered from worst levels in NY hours, finishing above neutral levels.

  • The SMH reported that Australia considers imposing sanctions against Russia if it invades Ukraine. In this morning's interview with ABC, Russia's ambassador to Australia insisted that Moscow is not intending to strike and its troops amassed on the Ukrainian border are a "warning."
  • It is Australia Day and daytime trading on local markets is closed.
  • Quarterly terms of trade and PPI will hit the wires on Thursday and Friday respectively.
  • AUD/USD trades at $0.7155, a touch higher on the day. A clearance of Jan 20 high of $0.7277 would turn focus to Jan 13 high of $0.7314. Conversely, a slide through Jan 24/Dec 20 lows of $0.7091/82 would bring the 76.4% retracement of the Dec 3 - Jan 13 upleg at $0.7069 into play.

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