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AUSTRALIA VIEW: *** Bank views on yesterday's RBA....>

AUSSIE-YEN TECHS, AUSTRALIA VIEW
AUSTRALIA VIEW: *** Bank views on yesterday's RBA MonPol Decision (2/2)
- TD Securities: The statement was a little longer than last month but the
message was little changed. We were looking for a nod to higher underlying
inflation, but the Bank's narrative was little changed. We still look for a
marginal upgrade to the 2018 outlook to 2%/y in Friday's SoMP.
- Westpac: Commentary in previous statements around the labour market has been
unreservedly upbeat. It was therefore interesting to note that the Gov.
recognised that employment "growth has slowed over recent months". Nevertheless,
the Gov. remains confident that solid employment growth will lead to a gradual
reduction in the unemployment rate. Since the last SoMP, housing markets have
slowed further; financial conditions have tightened; employment growth has
slowed; and equity markets have become more volatile. All of these factors point
to the Bank having even more scope to remain patient with respect to policy. As
we have consistently argued since mid- 2017, Westpac continues to expect that
the cash rate will remain on hold in 2018 and 2019.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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