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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
Axios reportingthat former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is set to announce his intention to run for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination next week. Axios: "Christie, 60, is a former close Trump ally who now calls the former president a "coward" and "puppet of Putin." He gives traditional Republicans a horse — but seems to have a narrow market in today's GOP. [...] Christie is expected to make the announcement at a town hall at Saint Anselm College at 6:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday."
- Data from Smarkets shows political bettors give Christie almost zero prospect of winning the Republican nomination, with a 0.7% implied probability of victory. He sits in 10th place behind former President Donald Trump (68.0%), Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (26.3%), former South Carolina Governor and US Representative to the UN Nikki Haley (3.5%), US Senator for South Carolina Tim Scott (2.5%), Virginia Governor Glenn Younkin (2.3%), former Vice President Mike Pence (1.5%), former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (1.3%), former Fox News host Tucker Carlson (1.1%), and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (0.8%).
Chart 1. Betting Market Implied Probability of Winning 2024 GOP Presidential Nomination, %
Source: Smarkets
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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