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BA/ML said Japanese lifers'...........>

US CORPORATES
US CORPORATES: BA/ML said Japanese lifers' "further shift away from hedging
currency risk makes perfect sense as the cost of (US) dollar hedging has risen
sharply and recently approached 200bps on an annualized basis. We think this
issue of unhedged foreign buying is a much broader phenomenon - beyond the
Japanese lifers and Asia - as the dollar is down about 8% this year and toward
the lower end of its range from the past couple of years. Furthermore many
investors no doubt believe the dollar found a floor when the Fed made it
surprisingly clear at the most recent (September) FOMC meeting that the rate
hiking cycle is alive and well."
- They quipped, "Let's do the un-twist. The effect of currency unhedged foreign
buying is to slow the "twists," i.e. it leads to decompression (see: Floor on
weak dollar = decompression) and steepening pressure on the maturity spread
curve. However, these effects should be rather shallow and short-lived, as
otherwise there would be upward pressure on the dollar, which would lead to less
unhedged buying."

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