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Bank Credit Pulls Back After Broad-Based Sharp Increase

US
  • Loans and leases in bank credit saw a partial reversal of the prior week’s jump, with -$20B after +$66B in seasonally adjusted terms (non-seasonally adjusted +$14B after +$57B) in the week ending Wed Mar 22.
  • This should support the theory that the prior week’s surprise jump came as companies drew on credit lines on worries about limited future access if banks pull them and/or fail. The less than offsetting subsequent decline doesn’t yet show signs of any major credit tightening just yet.
  • Details: The overall seasonally adjusted decline was solely in commercial & industrial loans after the previous broad-based increase. Separately, commercial real estate lending, an area with oversized reliance on small banks, slowed to a $2B increase compared to recent weekly averages close to $6B.
  • By bank size, most of the seasonally adjusted decline came from large domestic banks whilst small bank assets were flat after a strong increase the week prior.

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