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Bank views on today's NZ CPI: - ANZ:....>

NEW ZEALAND
NEW ZEALAND: Bank views on today's NZ CPI:
- ANZ: Headline CPI inflation was slightly stronger than expected in Q1, largely
owing to the magnitude of change in some of the more volatile components. The
fall in annual headline inflation is more noise than signal. Nonetheless,
evidence of a broadening in domestic price increases beyond housing remains
elusive. Core inflation measures were mixed, but broadly stable overall. We
suspect the RBNZ will continue to bide its time until there's a little more
certainty that inflation is set to rise. A meaningful lift in wages being one
likely catalyst.
- ASB: Tradable inflation remains the key drag on headline inflation, with
quarterly tradable inflation negative for the second consecutive quarter. At the
same time, non-tradable inflation is not lifting fast enough to offset the
softness the tradable drag. Core inflation measures also continue to point to a
subdued underlying picture, with a number of measures easing on an annual basis.
We do not expect the RBNZ to change course as a result of the release & believe
the RBNZ will remain comfortable leaving monetary policy on hold for now.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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