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BAX Futures Dragged Lower By Eurodollars

CANADA
  • There has been a modest bounce but BAX futures have largely been dragged lower by Eurodollars so far today.
  • The front end is at or below previous lows, helped by the BOC’s hawkish 50bp hike last week.
  • The red pack and onwards struggles to get back to those levels but is still left with an implied policy rate a little over 3%, above the BoC’s newly revised higher 2-3% neutral range.
  • The move appears US-led but Canadian data support it: whilst a moderation, house price growth was still +1% M/M and 27% Y/Y (compositionally adjusted) as there was only a small improvement in months of inventory.

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