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BCCh Meeting/Decision Scheduled Thursday

CHILE
  • All surveyed analysts expect the BCCh to stay on hold at 11.25% at Thursday’s meeting. As shown in the BCCh traders survey earlier today, expectations remain that rate cuts are on the horizon, however, most analysts point out that the macro backdrop remains complex and highly uncertain with inflation remaining very high.
    • Goldman Sachs point out that while short- and medium-term inflation expectations remain above target and the current account deficit remains wide, the MPC will have to be patient and keep the policy rate at the currently restrictive stance until they observe a series of data points that suggests that inflation and its drivers are clearly on a path toward meeting the 3% inflation target.
    • JPMorgan also expect the Board to signal its aversion to the amount of expected easing already priced in, likely by reinforcing the central scenario for the policy horizon penciled in the latest monetary policy report.
    • The full MNI preview with analyst views will be published tomorrow. The only other data point is December PPI which crosses tomorrow.
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