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Bear Steepening Flips To Bear Flattening
JGBs came under some cheapening pressure as the Tokyo morning session wore on, with the curve steepening. 40-Year yields registered a fresh cycle high, with 20- & 30-Year yields printing a touch shy of their respective cycle peaks, with the recent run of pressure maintained.
- That was before a pull away from cheapest levels of the session in the super-long end, with the respective outright levels and steepness vs. 10s (which are capped by the BoJ’s YCC mechanism) perhaps luring domestic life insurers and pension funds in.
- Cash JGBs run little changed to ~1.5bp cheaper, with the front end now leading the cheapening, as the curve bear flattens.
- JGB futures last -7, sticking to a very narrow range.
- Local headline flow has been focused on FX matters, once again, with Finance Minister Suzuki highlighting the increased frequency of the monitoring of FX markets.
- BoJ board member Adachi stuck to the BoJ’s central script, playing down any suggestions that the Bank should tighten monetary policy, while providing familiar overtures re: the JPY. Elsewhere, BoJ Governor Kuroda failed to provide fresh, meaningful information.
- Looking ahead, the monthly trade balance reading and weekly international security flow data from the Japanese MoF headline the domestic docket on Thursday.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.