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MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, March 29

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Bear Steepening With Earnings and Empire Ahead

US TSYS
BulletMarketsFixed Income NewsHomepageEarnings Calendar Market NewsMorgan Stanley Market News
  • Cash Tsys have bear steepened from Friday’s after yesterday’s MLK day closure, with the front end unchanged but long end yields drifting 4-6bps higher in a continuation of Friday’s paring of gains seen after Thursday’s in-line CPI print. Moves are potentially buoyed by stronger than expected China data and German ZEW sentiment overnight although it’s not reflected in near-term Fed pricing.
  • A lighter docket today ahead of tomorrow’s stacked session (plus the BoJ overnight) although equity earnings resume, including Goldman and Morgan Stanley before the NY open today.
  • TYH3 edges slightly lower from yesterday’s thin session to trade 7 ticks lower from Friday’s close at 114-17+, with modestly below average volumes. The trend signal remains bullish with resistance at 115-15+ (Jan 13 high) and support at 113-26+ (20-day EMA).
  • Data: Empire mfg Jan (0830ET)
  • Fedspeak: NY Fed’s Williams (1500ET) welcoming remarks, no text
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $60B 13W, $48B 26W bill auction (1130ET)
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  • Cash Tsys have bear steepened from Friday’s after yesterday’s MLK day closure, with the front end unchanged but long end yields drifting 4-6bps higher in a continuation of Friday’s paring of gains seen after Thursday’s in-line CPI print. Moves are potentially buoyed by stronger than expected China data and German ZEW sentiment overnight although it’s not reflected in near-term Fed pricing.
  • A lighter docket today ahead of tomorrow’s stacked session (plus the BoJ overnight) although equity earnings resume, including Goldman and Morgan Stanley before the NY open today.
  • TYH3 edges slightly lower from yesterday’s thin session to trade 7 ticks lower from Friday’s close at 114-17+, with modestly below average volumes. The trend signal remains bullish with resistance at 115-15+ (Jan 13 high) and support at 113-26+ (20-day EMA).
  • Data: Empire mfg Jan (0830ET)
  • Fedspeak: NY Fed’s Williams (1500ET) welcoming remarks, no text
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $60B 13W, $48B 26W bill auction (1130ET)