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Bear Steepening With U.Mich May Survey Eyed

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys have seen a modest bear steepening, with the front end little changed on the day but cheapening pressure continuing to grow further out the curve with equities also lifting. Front yields consolidate yesterday’s second half recovery but remain some 15bps off pre-CPI levels ahead of today’s docket headlined by U.Mich preliminary survey for May.
  • In debt ceiling talks, the Biden-McCarthy meeting scheduled for today has been pushed into next week after progress at staff-level talks according to people familiar with the talks.
  • 2YY +0.2bp at 3.901%, 5YY +1.5bp at 3.370%, 10YY +2.8bp at 3.412% and 30YY +3.5bp at 3.769%.
  • TYM3 trades 3 ticks higher at 115-30+, just off session lows of 115-28 but within yesterday’s range. Support remains intact around 115-00, with 115-01+ (May 9 low) and 114-29+ (50-day EMA) whilst to the upside sits 116-16 (May 11 high).
  • Data: Import prices Apr (0830ET), U.Mich consumer survey May prelim (1000ET)
  • Fedspeak: Daly (1420ET), Bullard & Jefferson moderated panel (1945ET)

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