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POLAND

PLN Weakens Amid Quiet NBP

SHORT-STERLING OPTIONS

SONIA option

Bearish Focus Despite Thursday Gains

EURUSD TECHS
  • RES 4: 1.2353 High Apr 20, 2018
  • RES 3: 1.2349 High Jan 6
  • RES 2: 1.2230/85 High Jan 11 / 8
  • RES 1: 1.2165 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 1.2139 @ 16:55 GMT Jan 21
  • SUP 1: 1.2054 Low Jan 18
  • SUP 2: 1.2011 High Sep 1 and a former breakout level
  • SUP 3: 1.1976 50.0% retracement of the Nov 4 - Jan 6 rally
  • SUP 4: 1.1912 2.0% 10-dma envelope

EURUSD showed above, but failed to crack the 20-day EMA, at 1.2165 Thursday. Recent gains do not alter the near-term outlook and a bearish corrective theme remains in place following the recent sell-off from 1.2349, Jan 6 high. The leg lower is allowing a recent overbought condition to unwind. A resumption of weakness would open 1.2011, Sep 1 high next and 1.1976, a Fibonacci retracement. Above the 20-day EMA, 1.2230 marks a firm resistance, Jan 11 high.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com