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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
Betting and prediction markets continue to see little in ongoing 14th Amendment challenges to former President Donald Trump's eligibility to appear on the Republican primary ballot as sufficient to downgrade his favourite status to take the GOP nomination.
- According to ElectionBettingOdds - a site which aggregates data from a broad range of markets - Trump remains heavily favoured with an implied proability of 75.6% of taking the nomination. Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley appears Trump's only credible challenger is in second with a 13.9% implied probability of winning.
- Over the next few weeks, more than a dozen states will consider action to remove Trump from the primary ballot over charges related his alleged efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election result.
- Axios notes: “Colorado and Maine last month disqualified Trump from the ballot over his role in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot, in bombshell decisions that put questions over a largely untested provision before the Supreme Court.”
Figure 1: Republican Presidential Nominee
Source: ElectionBettingOdds
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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