April 18, 2024 16:44 GMT
Biden Advantage With Young Voters Below Baseline For Democrat Candidates
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A new surveyreleased today by the Institute of Politics (IOP) at the Harvard Kennedy School finds that, “more than half of young Americans say they will definitely be voting in the Presidential election this Fall,” with 56% of likely young voters supporting President Biden.
- The survey also finds: “Broad support for a permanent ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war; Economic concerns continue to be top of mind for young voters; Confidence in public institutions continues to decline.”
- John Della Volpe, the director of polling at Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, said in an interview that although Biden’s numbers with young voters are strong, they may not be strong under to deliver him the White House, based on previous data.
- Della Volpe: “For a Democrat to comfortably win the Electoral College, he or she needs to win 60 percent of the youth vote. Biden and Obama, ’12 and ’20, won 60 percent. Obama got 66 percent in ’08. [John] Kerry and Hillary Clinton got 55 percent. Biden is in the mid-50s. Can you improve that to get to 60 percent? It’s within reach. But he’s going to have to get younger men and young men of color, younger men who are white, younger men in the suburbs and their urban areas to turn out.”
Figure 1: 2024 Voting Intentions, Young Voters
Source: Harvard Youth Poll
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