Free Trial

Biden Advantage With Young Voters Below Baseline For Democrat Candidates

US

A new surveyreleased today by the Institute of Politics (IOP) at the Harvard Kennedy School finds that, “more than half of young Americans say they will definitely be voting in the Presidential election this Fall,” with 56% of likely young voters supporting President Biden.

  • The survey also finds: “Broad support for a permanent ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war; Economic concerns continue to be top of mind for young voters; Confidence in public institutions continues to decline.”
  • John Della Volpe, the director of polling at Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, said in an interview that although Biden’s numbers with young voters are strong, they may not be strong under to deliver him the White House, based on previous data.
  • Della Volpe: “For a Democrat to comfortably win the Electoral College, he or she needs to win 60 percent of the youth vote. Biden and Obama, ’12 and ’20, won 60 percent. Obama got 66 percent in ’08. [John] Kerry and Hillary Clinton got 55 percent. Biden is in the mid-50s. Can you improve that to get to 60 percent? It’s within reach. But he’s going to have to get younger men and young men of color, younger men who are white, younger men in the suburbs and their urban areas to turn out.”

Figure 1: 2024 Voting Intentions, Young Voters

Keep reading...Show less
224 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

A new surveyreleased today by the Institute of Politics (IOP) at the Harvard Kennedy School finds that, “more than half of young Americans say they will definitely be voting in the Presidential election this Fall,” with 56% of likely young voters supporting President Biden.

  • The survey also finds: “Broad support for a permanent ceasefire in the Israel-Hamas war; Economic concerns continue to be top of mind for young voters; Confidence in public institutions continues to decline.”
  • John Della Volpe, the director of polling at Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, said in an interview that although Biden’s numbers with young voters are strong, they may not be strong under to deliver him the White House, based on previous data.
  • Della Volpe: “For a Democrat to comfortably win the Electoral College, he or she needs to win 60 percent of the youth vote. Biden and Obama, ’12 and ’20, won 60 percent. Obama got 66 percent in ’08. [John] Kerry and Hillary Clinton got 55 percent. Biden is in the mid-50s. Can you improve that to get to 60 percent? It’s within reach. But he’s going to have to get younger men and young men of color, younger men who are white, younger men in the suburbs and their urban areas to turn out.”

Figure 1: 2024 Voting Intentions, Young Voters

Keep reading...Show less