Biden Continues To Show Weakness With Key Blocs Of 2020 Electoral Coalition

A new survey from NPR has found that, “just one-third of all young Americans," would back President Biden if the election was held today, exposing concerning vulnerabilities for Biden amongst key voting blocs of his 2020 alliance, namely young voters and Black and Hispanic voters.

• NPR notes: “In 2020, 89% of Black voters aged 18-29 voted for Biden, as well as 78% of those aged 30-44. In the latest GenForward survey, just 33% said they would support him if the election were held today and 23% chose Trump.
• “Trump is beating Biden among young Latino voters by a four-point margin. It’s a significant drop in support for Biden compared to four years ago, when he won 69% of Latino voters under 30, and 62% of those 30-44.”
• The Pew Research Center noted in analysis of the 2020 election: "Apart from the small shift among Hispanic voters, Joe Biden’s electoral coalition looked much like Hillary Clinton’s, with Black, Hispanic and Asian voters and those of other races casting about four-in-ten of his votes.Black voters remained overwhelmingly loyal to the Democratic Party, voting 92%-8% for Biden."

Figure 1: If the 2024 presidential election were being held today, which candidate would you support? (By Age)