Biden Has Edge Over Trump In Favourability

A new survey from Morning Consult has found that, "for the first time since mid-January, Biden’s net favorability rating (6 points underwater) is slightly better than Trump’s (8 points underwater)."

• Morning Consult notes: "This edge comes as Biden’s advantage over Trump on net buzz — the share of voters who heard something positive about each candidate minus the share who heard something negative — ticked up to 21 points, which is the largest margin since mid-November."
• The survey notes that Biden's polling has also strengthened: "Biden leads Trump by 2 percentage points (44% to 42%). The presumptive Republican nominee has rarely led Biden since the Super Tuesday primary contests, compared with consistent advantages he enjoyed throughout January and February. However, the race remains incredibly close, with 8% of voters threatening to vote third party and 5% undecided."
• PredictIt now shows Biden as the slight favourite to win in November with an implied probability of 49% compared to 45% for Trump.
• Betting markets see the race continue to tighten with Trump holding on as the moderate favourite. Smarkets (Trump 45%/Biden 43%) and ElectionBettingOdds (Trump 45%/Biden 42%).