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Free AccessMNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, December 11
Biden Increases Lead Over Trump In Pennsylvania Poll
A new survey from Susquehanna Polling and Research has found that President Biden has extended his lead over former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical Pennsylvania 2024 presidential matchup.
- Susquehanna notes: "President Biden leads Republican frontrunner D. Trump by 7 points or 46.8% to 39.3% in the latest Pa poll, which shows a widening of Biden’s margin when compared with his 47:45 margin over Trump in our September 2023 poll."
- The survey is a rare piece of good news for Biden and bucks a broader trend which has show Trump strengthening his position against Biden.
- Pennsylvania is not considered one of the four states most likely to determine the result of the 2024 presidential election (Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Nevada) but it is one that Biden must hold. Any sign that Biden is loosening his grip on potentially competitive Democrat-leaning states like Pennsylvania and Michigan may signpost a strong result for former President Donald Trump.
Figure 1: 2024 Presidential Election Voting Intention, Pennsylvania
Source: Susquehanna Polling and Research
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.