Biden Outperforming Trump With Independents, Marist

A new survey from the Marist Insitutite for Public Opinion has found that President Biden, "has a three-percentage point edge over Trump among registered voters nationally" with the survey noting that, "Trump’s support among white voters and independents has splintered."

• According to Marist, "Biden is doing better than he did in 2020 among white voters, and he has eliminated the advantage that Trump had among independents earlier this month."
• Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist Institute, said: "Despite some weak spots for Joe Biden among non-whites and younger voters, he continues to outperform his 2020 numbers among white voters. Although it bears watching in the future, right now, a multicandidate field does not benefit Trump."
• Notably, the survey finds that, "Biden (43%) is up by five percentage points against Trump (38%) among registered voters in a multi-candidate field that includes Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (14%), Cornel West (2%), and Jill Stein (2%)," supplying more data to suggest that Trump could be more impacted more by third-party candidates.
• On approval, the survey finds: "President Biden’s approval rating on the economy is upside down (42% approve to 54% disapprove). Biden’s approval score on his handling of the war between Israel and Hamas is even worse. 35% approve, down from 40% in November of 2023, and 57% now disapprove."
• According to Decision Desk HQ's average of 668 polls, Trump currently has a 0.6% lead over Biden. Trump's lead has tightened from 2% as recently as March.