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Free AccessBMO analyst Ian Lyngen noted Treasuries.....>
US TSYS: BMO analyst Ian Lyngen noted Treasuries "were rallying ahead of the ISM
release on the weaker July auto sales data, which suggests that the second half
of the year has started off on softer footing. Moreover, it's a continuation of
one of the primarily concerns from H1: just transitory? ISM came in at 56.3 vs.
57.8 prior, off the highs and slightly below the consensus of 56.5 although
still solidly above 50."
- He adds within "details, we saw prices paid gain 7 pts to 62.0 for the highest
reading since April. While this might be a sign of potential inflation, the
inability of the higher costs seen in Q1 to translate into realized inflation
has offset that concern on the margin. The employment component slipped to 55.2,
but was still mid-range for the year. June's construction spending numbers were
also weak, a development that suggests downward pressure on Q2 GDP revisions."
- He adds "overall, a softer set of data (particularly autos) that has reversed
the tone in the Treasury market."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.